NOAA predicts a “near-normal” hurricane season for 2023, marking the first non-above-average prediction in eight years.
By the numbers: NOAA forecasts 12 to 17 named storms, with about half expected to be full-blown hurricanes.
* This is the first time in eight years that the May outlook hasn’t forecast an above-average number of storms.
Warnings and preparations: Officials emphasize the importance of preparedness, as only one storm can devastate a community.
* This includes making evacuation plans, preparing for power outages, and considering the care of elderly family members, children, and pets.
Uncertain factors: The 2023 hurricane season faces a mix of climate conditions, making predictions unclear.
* This year’s season may have a rare combination of El Niño and unusually warm ocean waters, both influencing hurricane formation.
What they’re saying: Forecasters acknowledge the uncertainty, citing a lack of historical precedent for this year’s hurricane outlook.
* Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, notes the difficulty in predicting the outcome of the season due to the unusual mix of climate factors.
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