NOAA predicts a “near-normal” hurricane season. But that’s not good news

NOAA predicts a “near-normal” hurricane season for 2023, marking the first non-above-average prediction in eight years.

By the numbers: NOAA forecasts 12 to 17 named storms, with about half expected to be full-blown hurricanes.
* This is the first time in eight years that the May outlook hasn’t forecast an above-average number of storms.

Warnings and preparations: Officials emphasize the importance of preparedness, as only one storm can devastate a community.
* This includes making evacuation plans, preparing for power outages, and considering the care of elderly family members, children, and pets.

Uncertain factors: The 2023 hurricane season faces a mix of climate conditions, making predictions unclear.
* This year’s season may have a rare combination of El Niño and unusually warm ocean waters, both influencing hurricane formation.

What they’re saying: Forecasters acknowledge the uncertainty, citing a lack of historical precedent for this year’s hurricane outlook.
* Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, notes the difficulty in predicting the outcome of the season due to the unusual mix of climate factors.

View original article on NPR

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